College football odds, picks, lines for Week 3: Advanced computer model loving Georgia, fading Notre Dame
With plenty of non-conference battles on the Week 3 college football schedule, bettors have a variety of games to choose from. Whether you’re looking to back a huge favorite in the Week 3 college football odds like Penn State (-35) against Kent State, or you’re eyeing a game Vegas expects to be tight like Oklahoma State (-2.5) against Boise State, be sure to check out the Week 3 college football picks and predictions from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. It updates its projected college football scores multiple times per day, so as college football odds move or weather like Hurricane Florence causes changes in the schedule, you’ll always have the most up-to-date information.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. In the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors.
It finished Week 2 of the 2018 season with a bang, hitting 11 of its final 13 top-rated picks and cashing in huge with selections like Kentucky against the spread (+13.5) and on the money line (+410) against Florida, and Arizona State against the spread (+4.5) and on the money line (+165) against Michigan State. Anybody following it finished way, way up.
Now the model has simulated every single play of the Week 3 college football schedule, and you can see the results only over at SportsLine.
The Rebels, led by quarterback Jordan Ta’amu and stud receiver A.J. Brown, have shown one of the most dynamic offenses in the nation through two weeks, piling up 123 points and almost 1,200 yards against Texas Tech and Southern Illinois.
But it’s a huge step up in competition this week against the top-ranked Crimson Tide. The model is calling for Alabama’s defense to hold the Rebels to 15 points, while Tide quarterback Tua Tagovailoa exposes a shaky Ole Miss front for over 200 yards and two touchdowns through the air. Alabama’s running backs, including Damien Harris and Najee Harris, add over 200 yards on the ground as the Tide roll to a cover in over 60 percent of simulations.
One Week 3 college football pick you can make with confidence: Vanderbilt goes on the road and covers against Notre Dame (-13.5) in South Bend.
Notre Dame looked strong in a season-opening win over Michigan, but struggled in Week 2 against Ball State, managing to pull out only a 24-16 victory as 34.5-point favorites. Vanderbilt, meanwhile, has looked strong out of the gates with a 35-7 win over a potent Middle Tennessee squad and a 41-10 blowout of Nevada.
The model is calling for 220 yards through the air and a touchdown for veteran Vanderbilt quarterback Kyle Shurmur, as the Commodores keep this one closer than Vegas expects and cover in almost 55 percent of simulations. There’s also plenty of value in the Under (52) because that hits 65 percent of the time.
The model also has a strong selection for the massive top-15 showdown between Ohio State and TCU and is calling for a team with national title aspirations to get absolutely stunned on the road by an underdog.
So what college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 3? And what team shocks college football? Check out the latest college football odds below and then visit SportsLine to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from a proven computer model on an 11-2 run that has returned over $4,000 in profit over the past three seasons.
Oklahoma at Iowa State (+17.5, 55)
Miami (Fla.) at Toledo (+10, 57.5)
Kent State at Penn State (-35, 64.5)
Florida State at Syracuse (+3, 68)
Vanderbilt at Notre Dame (-13.5, 52)
SMU at Michigan (-35.5, 53.5)
Boise State at Oklahoma State (-2.5, 64.5)
BYU at Wisconsin (-22, 46.5)
LSU at Auburn (-10, 44.5)
Georgia Southern at Clemson (-33, 47)
San Jose State at Oregon (-41, 67.5)
Alabama at Ole Miss (+21, 71)
Middle Tennessee at Georgia (-32.5, 54.5)
Louisiana at Mississippi State (-33, 64.5)
UL-Monroe at Texas A&M (-27, 68)
Ohio State vs. TCU (+12.5, 59.5)
Washington at Utah (+5, 47)
Arizona State at San Diego State (+5, 48)